Credit ratings agency Fitch has revised France’s outlook to negative from stable on Friday, citing increases in fiscal policy and political risks.
“This year’s projected fiscal slippage places France in a worse fiscal starting position, and we now expect wider fiscal deficits, leading to a steep rise in government debt towards 118.5% of GDP by 2028,” Fitch said in a statement, while maintaining France’s rating at “AA-”
France’s public finances have sharply deteriorated this year as tax income fell short of expectations and spending exceeded them, leaving French debt at risk of a ratings downgrade.
The government presented a 2025 budget on Thursday that aims to reduce the hole in the public finances by €60 billion euros ($65.5 billion) through spending cuts and tax hikes focused on the wealthy and big companies.
“The 2025 budget that we just presented reflects the government’s determination to put the public finances on a better path and get debt under control,” Finance Minister Antoine Armand said in a statement.
Fitch said that high political fragmentation and a minority government complicate France’s ability to deliver on sustainable fiscal consolidation policies.
